ShyGuy

Collaros had an absolute disaster class of a beginning of the season because the Bombers big-brained themselves into giving pretty much all the veterans training camp and preseason off. Collaros goes into the season with no time to gel with anyone and an injured Brady. Then he immediately loses Lawler to a broken arm and 2 games later Schoen blows out his knee and then in week 4 he actually gets hurt. If you measure the stats for Collaros and Harris from when Harris came back from his injury (and Zach was working into somewhat of a groove and finally learned his new receivers names) they are almost statistically the same. The issue is that Collaros is dealing with regressing from being a perennial MOP candidate and Harris is pretty much what he always has been. Harris has always been known for moving the ball between the 30s. The Riders managed to take a super impressive turnover ratio and turn it into a really impressive number of punts and field goal attempts.

I mean if at any point in the season the Bombers are trotting out someone like Patterson at QB they are ******, and it doesn't have anything to do with the fact Patterson is on the roster. It's not a new phenomenon that GMs in sports have a "but I can fix him!" attitude either

One thing that needs to be mentioned about the Riders is... they were a 9-8-1 team (so effectively .500) with a +26 (!!!!!!) TO Ratio. A team with that kind of Ratio you would expect up above 13 wins, so they WAY underperformed their TO Rate. You have to think that Ratio comes down this year... even if they end up at an Above Average of say... +10, how much worse would their record have been at that Ratio?

What sounds better? The Edmonton Arlks or the Edmonton Elgos

The Riders tampering to inflate the Receiver Market on player who is fantastic but has been effectively injured for 18 months and no one knows if they would be ready for training camp let alone the season would seem very on brand

The best ability is availability

Houston had lots of picks because he had lots of opportunities to get picks because QBs would throw to him. Ford had some of the best metrics for DBs, it was just when QBs forgot themselves and decided to throw to his side of the field he was as likely to catch the ball as the offense was.

The Bombers have definitely played with more NATs than required the last few years so it's not a given the backup DT has to be Canadian. You can throw a dart at the draft board and probably find someone who could give you what a Jake Thomas in his 13th year would give you, nice guy to have around or not. The fact of the matter is... if he wasn't in Winnipeg where else would he be? In case of emergency you could always kick the tires and bring him back

Must be an edict from the league. Looks like everyone has a single pairing for preseason, other than BC-EDM-CAL who have a little bit of a round robin going. I can't imagine an outdoor comedy festival in its 2nd year in the city that had an 8000 attendance across multiple days last year was on the schedule makers radar. Are we going to keep Sea Bears home game dates open as well?

in 2022 and 2023 Collaros had a great regular season (MOP in 2022 and then Brady and him were probably MOPa and MOPb out of the West in 2023) and faltered in the playoffs. Last year he had a REALLY rough start as everything seemed to go bad for the Bombers, especially on offense, and then he seemed to pull it together... wasn't much competition for QBs in the West but Trever Harris got the all-star nod and post injury him and Collaros were very close stats wise. He then had BY FAR his best playoff game as a Bomber in the West Final, and then laid an egg the last 35 minutes of the Grey Cup.

I think with a +26 TO Ratio you would be expecting around 14-4 wouldn't you? The Riders were elite at turning those turnovers into punts though.

It's always a great idea to run it back when you can barely muster a .500 season with a +26 turnover ratio.

It's hard to say if the FGA attempts extrapolated over would have much of a different. I don't know the math behind the stat but based on the title "points above expected" I would expect it to be cumulative. So each attempt would be considered individually. If say you have a 30 yard attempt, you can never have a 100% make rate, but that is probably what, 98% say, so your expected points on a 30 yard field goal would be 3 * .98 = 2.94. So if you make that your points above expected would be 3 - 2.94 = 0.06. But if you were to miss it you would be -2.94. But if you have a 60 yard attempt, the make rate would be closer to say... 25%? So the expected points would be 3 * .25 = .75, so your points above expectation would be 2.25, but if you were to miss you would only be .75 in the red... but most kickers wouldn't need to worry about that because they wouldn't even be trotted out for that attempt.

Yeah his 2024 numbers aren't bad, but didn't Willie just say "yesterdays price is not todays price" https://3downnation.com/2024/02/21/b-c-lions-sign-qb-vernon-adams-jr-to-contract-extension-through-2026/ Teams aren't dealing with his 2024 numbers (unless the Lions accelerate some of whats due in 2025/26 into this year... and based on Betts and Rourke coming on this year good luck). It's the 500k hard money in 2025, and the 250K guaranteed in 2026 that teams would be worried about.

Ehhhh I would say its not exactly a secret what needs to happen. Adams CANNOT be on that roster at the start of the season. The Salary Cap won't allow it. The teams that are in on him know there is a possibility they can get him, its just a matter of do you deal with the Lions and provide enough trade capital (read: anything) to get him, or wait until he is cut and then attempt to outbid the other teams. It is similar to Dru Brown... everyone knew the Bombers weren't going to keep him, but Ottawa gave the Bombers a draft pick to get a window to ensure they were the only ones competing for his services until he became a FA. I'm not sure what other teams salary cap numbers are like, maybe there is a team that can slide in take the hit on his guarantees in exchange for a draft pick, and then either neogotiate his contract way down or cut him and let the Lions off the hook.