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TrueBlue4ever

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Everything posted by TrueBlue4ever

  1. I did this already in the CFL thread when you started spouting off words like "hype" and "hyperbole". But here it is again (note that this was written last Saturday night): Here are numbers from Johns Hopkins’ website, which along with the WHO is a reputable site for accurate reporting (according to medical professionals and health experts who are on the front lines of dealing with this - full disclosure, I am married to one of those health professionals in this Province). Remember a couple of weeks back when Trump said they had 5 cases in the USA and would be at zero by April? Well four days ago they had 9,000 cases and 130 deaths. Three days ago it was 12,000 and 155 or so deaths. Two days ago it jumped to 14,250 and 205 deaths. Yesterday it was 19,000 and 260. As of now it is 25,500 cases and 307 deaths. That progression is the problem. Numbers are artificially low as well since there isn’t full testing yet. So cases are climbing at a rate of around 33% daily now and deaths are jumping at a rate of around 25%. Italy was at 3,000 deaths two days ago and are now at 4,800. That’s a 60% jump in two days. They had 41,000 cases yesterday and 58,000 today. So first of all, spare me the “flu has many more deaths than this in a year” BS. We are basically two weeks into the exponential growth stage. Extrapolate over a year without the “hype and overreaction” of locking down cities and guess where we end up? At a 30% progression rate, in one week from today the US has gone from 25,500 cases to 166,000. Fortunately the US death rate is about 1.3% of all cases, not the global rate of around 3.5-4 %, or Italy’s 8.5%, so we are talking “only” 2,150 dead next week, so yeah a 700% increase in one week. Canada is doing slightly better per capita, but the growth is similar. Or we can all quarantine and hope to slow those numbers. The video was posted on March 4, as has been pointed out. Of course the numbers were much lower then. What he was saying wasn't wrong on that day, but he was not factoring in the growth of the virus in his answer. Trump was saying in that week that they had 15 cases, soon to be zero, which seems to be the line of thinking you are following. We can see just how completely wrong he was saying that looking at where we are at today. My point was that the progression, left unchecked by ignoring social distancing recommendations, was going to overwhelm the system. You call it hyperbole to predict this massive influx of cases. Well, let's look at where the numbers have gone since last Saturday night. From Saturday night until last night, we have seen: Cases jump daily from 25,500 to 36,000 to 52,000 to 69,000 as of Wednesday night (all numbers from Johns Hopkins website if you want the source) Deaths jump from 307 to 424 to 700 to 932 as of Wednesday night. So my prediction of a daily 30% increase has held up. These are raw numbers. Not conjecture. Not hyperbole. And this despite people already taking some social distancing measures. The effects of it to flatten the curve won't be seen for a few weeks since the cases are already in the system and you can be symptom-free for a couple of days and have it and spread it. Trump wants to open up the US again in 2 weeks. That will negate any effect to socially distance, and the numbers will keep rising. If the numbers start to taper off from the 30% daily rate, my guess is that it won't solely be due to the virus slowing down but rather that the testing won't keep up. So if we fall short of the 166,000 cases reported by this coming Saturday night, I'd be more confident saying that it is because they just didn't do testing for every person who actually has it rather than the virus is dying off. As a comparison, here is the progression in Canada since March 12 up to yesterday: Are you starting to get the picture now?
  2. Have a ton of them, many memorable moments, was in Halifax when Milt broke the TD record so that one isn’t part of it. My favourite live game may now be last year’s West Final in Regina that I drove out for. But my best memory is October 9, 2005. My dad had turned 77 years old a few weeks earlier, and it was the Bombers’ 75th anniversary commemorative game. He had taken me to games for some two and a half decades, so I was just getting to the stage where I started to pay for the season ticket package to pay him back for all the years he had done it. We always wore our headsets to listen to the radio broadcast (I actually started doing it because I didn’t want to hear all the swearing around me as a young impressionable boy) from our East side seats, and he asked me on a few occasions where Bob and Bob (Irving and Cameron) broadcast from. So I thought a neat birthday present would be to show him. Called up Carol at the club offices, and asked if it would be possible to get a brief tour. She was wonderful as always and told us to get to the stadium an hour early and she would walk us through press row and the broadcast area. So we got a tour of the club offices and escorted up to media row, and down the hallway to where the CJOB booth was. Little did I know that she had made another request for my dad, one that she had hinted at to me but wasn’t sure could be pulled off since the pre-game broadcast was on when we arrived. As we got to the booth, we saw both Bobs and Mitch doing their pre-game thing, when they went to commercial, and Bob Irving came out and chatted up my dad for a few minutes, funnily enough more about family stuff rather than football, but Bob was as gracious as could be and giving of his time right in the middle of what was a broadcast session, and my dad was on cloud 9. My dad would pass away 12 years later to the day, so he never saw the drought end, but that was the best present I could ever give him and was the best memory I could ever have, thanks to the Bomber and CJOB staff. And yeah, everyone else knows that game as the Milt Stegall 4 catch, 4 TD game against BC, so it really put a bow on the day. Most magical memory of all for me.
  3. That was 1984. Lions had minus 50 yards of offence in the first half. Aaron Brown had 4 sacks too that game.
  4. Another interpretation could be that people are falsely saying they DID travel when they didn’t, because even with symptoms they won’t be tested if they haven’t travelled, so they lie to get the test done.
  5. Who (if pressed for the truth) says some don’t exist already?
  6. https://thehockeynews.com/news/article/simulating-the-season-panthers-leapfrog-maple-leafs-in-atlantic-central-division-battle-heats-up After missing a day in quarantine, THN renewed its simulated season. March 23 - The Wild pulled off a big win to push for the final wild card spot, gaining on the Canucks who lose. Calgary also wins, beating San Jose, and with that loss California will not be represented in the playoffs as the San Jose Sharks are eliminated. Also of note, Toronto is now outside the playoff line as Florida leapfrogs them into 3rd in the Atlantic. March 24 - The Jets squander a chance to virtually guarantee a wild card spot, losing 6-2 to the Predators. Still, they hold a 4 point edge on the pack behind them. The only other game of consequence in the West has the Stars lose. Two other clubs settled their fate in the East, as a win over the Blues means the Washington Capitals have clinched a playoff spot, while a loss to Buffalo means the Montreal Canadiens are eliminated.
  7. Well, considering that Mosca (a) told him to shove the peace offering flower up his ass, (b) swatted it away when offered it a second time, and (c) swung a metal cane at Kapp's face (and connected enough to knock his glasses off) in response to having a flower swatted in his face, he got what he deserved IMO.
  8. March 22 - https://thehockeynews.com/news/article/simulating-the-season-ovechkin-hat-trick-downs-penguins-jets-snaps-stars-streak Go Jets Go! Wish the real season was going as well as the simulated one, as the Jets down the red-hot sim Stars 4-1 to move within 4 points of 3rd in the Central, while opening up a 4 point lead on the Canucks for the top wild card spot. In fact, Winnipeg has more points than the #2 and 3 teams in the Pacific. Other big games see the Preds lose to Chicago to fall 6 back of Winnipeg, while the Coyotes win and are 8 behind the Jets and 4 out of the wild card chase (so is Chicago). Also, a Hurricanes loss to the Islanders means that the Boston Bruins clinch a playoff spot, and it also eliminates the New Jersey Devils and the Buffalo Sabres. Finally, a loss means the Los Angeles Kings are eliminated.
  9. Here are numbers from Johns Hopkins’ website, which along with the WHO is a reputable site for accurate reporting (according to medical professionals and health experts who are on the front lines of dealing with this - full disclosure, I am married to one of those health professionals in this Province). Remember a couple of weeks back when Trump said they had 5 cases in the USA and would be at zero by April? Well four days ago they had 9,000 cases and 130 deaths. Three days ago it was 12,000 and 155 or so deaths. Two days ago it jumped to 14,250 and 205 deaths. Yesterday it was 19,000 and 260. As of now it is 25,500 cases and 307 deaths. That progression is the problem. Numbers are artificially low as well since there isn’t full testing yet. So cases are climbing at a rate of around 33% daily now and deaths are jumping at a rate of around 25%. Italy was at 3,000 deaths two days ago and are now at 4,800. That’s a 60% jump in two days. They had 41,000 cases yesterday and 58,000 today. So first of all, spare me the “flu has many more deaths than this in a year” BS. We are basically two weeks into the exponential growth stage. Extrapolate over a year without the “hype and overreaction” of locking down cities and guess where we end up? At a 30% progression rate, in one week from today the US has gone from 25,500 cases to 166,000. Fortunately the US death rate is about 1.3% of all cases, not the global rate of around 3.5-4 %, or Italy’s 8.5%, so we are talking “only” 2,150 dead next week, so yeah a 700% increase in one week. Canada is doing slightly better per capita, but the growth is similar. Or we can all quarantine and hope to slow those numbers. And since my spouse is essential services and treating those who have or will get this virus which has no known vaccines, and since the powers that be don’t have or bother to have proper filtered masks for those who test due to short supply, I’ll see your high risk with my family’s own. It is very personal and real to me. So excuse me if “I. Don’t. Give. You. A. Break.”, f*ck you very much. I don’t need another person who could infect my spouse walking around because they think this is all hype. At the very least, get off these boards and stop downplaying the risk. Sorry to everyone else for hijacking the thread. I'll keep my further comments to the COVID-19 thread.
  10. Came across this while web surfing. The Hockey News has taken to the gaming world to see how the regular season would have finished up in a simulated exercise. Using EA Sports NHL 20, they have played all of the suspended games to track how teams would finish up the aborted regular season. Injuries have not been accounted for, so rioters are not completely accurate, but it is the best we have right now. As of March 11, the West wildcard race and the relevant players were as follows: Dallas 82 PTS, 69 GP (3RD Cen.) 😃 Calgary 79 PTS, 70 GP (3RD Pac.) 😃 Winnipeg 80 PTS, 71 GP (1 WC) 😃 Nashville 78 PTS 69 GP (2 WC) 😃 Vancouver 78 PTS, 69 GP 😩 Minnesota 77 PTS, 69 GP 😩 Arizona 74 PTS, 70 GP 😩 Chicago 72 PTS, 70 GP 😩 Here is how the games have gone since the season was halted: March 12 and 13 - https://thehockeynews.com/news/article/simulating-the-season-what-would-happen-if-the-nhl-continued-to-play-behind-close-doors Of note, Stars, Wild, Flames (in OT) win, Preds lose, and Coyotes beat Canucks on the 12th. On the 13th, Canucks win, Hawks lose. Canucks now in the 2 WC spot , Preds out. March 14 - https://thehockeynews.com/news/article/simulating-the-season-flyers-stay-white-hot-in-pursuit-of-top-spot-in-metropolitan-division Hawks lose and are really out of the running now, great night for the Jets who beat Calgary 7-4, and see the Preds, Wild, and Coyotes lose. Stars win. March 15 - https://thehockeynews.com/news/article/simulating-the-season-power-shifts-in-the-metropolitan-wilds-wild-comeback-puts-playoffs-in-sight Jets lose 4-2 in Vancouver, and the Wild beat the reeling Preds. Canucks now 3rd in Pac., Jets 1 WC, Flames 2 WC, with Minny 1 point out. And the Ottawa Senators are officially eliminated in the East. March 16 - https://thehockeynews.com/news/article/simulating-the-season-rangers-continue-push-for-playoff-spot-blue-jackets-get-breathing-room-in-wild-card-race Flames get a loser point, Dallas beat Arizona. And the Oilers are falling back into the wild card chase, although they still stand 2nd in the Pac. March 17 - https://thehockeynews.com/news/article/simulating-the-season-streaking-stars-in-hunt-for-home-ice-advantage-blues-get-last-minute-win Jets beat Florida 3-2 to solidify their 1 WC spot with the Flames and Wild both losing. Stars keep winning to hold on to 3rd in Cen. March 18 - https://thehockeynews.com/news/article/simulating-the-season-mcdavid-shreds-senators-as-oilers-pull-within-three-points-of-pacific-lead Canucks lose, Coyotes win. No change in the WC chase, Jets-wise. March 19 - https://thehockeynews.com/news/article/simulating-the-season-capitals-stretch-metro-lead-in-fiery-affair-game-of-the-night-debuts Flames and Preds win, Wild lose. Calgary now 3rd Pac., Jets 1 WC, Canucks 2 WC. Wild 1 point out of 8th, 3 behind Winnipeg. Preds 4 back of the Jets with a game in hand. St. Louis Blues become the first team to clinch a playoff spot. March 20 - https://thehockeynews.com/news/article/simulating-the-season-bishop-steals-one-for-stars-lightning-down-oilers-in-13-goal-thriller Surprise starter Laurent Brossoit earns a massive win as the Jets beat the Wild 5-2. Coyotes lose, Canucks and Stars win, and Oilers lose in OT. Anaheim Ducks are officially eliminated. March 21 - https://thehockeynews.com/news/article/simulating-the-season-lightning-gain-on-bruins-in-presidents-trophy-race-kings-frk-sets-nhl-record Preds win, Canucks lose, Flames get an OT loss point. No change in the wild card chase. So that's it up to today. Will post daily as THN runs their sims.
  11. I clicked on the twitter thread. I’m not sure what the most startling thing about this is. That she has actual press credentials, that someone didn’t punch her when she asked that question, the answer Trump gave, or that the comments section on Twitter is so full of people who think she is a hero for outing the corrupt media. I am continually surprised at how many Americans side with Trump and buy what he says without question when all it takes to show he is incompetent is to run his own words against him a few weeks later. Either Americans have really been brainwashed by the propaganda machine operating down there, or America is still 100 times more sexist, racist, science doubting, women’s rights hating than one could imagine for a country in the 21st century. Either option does not bode well for November.
  12. Trump is now referring to himself as a wartime President. Always good for a popularity poll boost in the USA. https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/18/politics/donald-trump-wartime-president-coronavirus/index.html
  13. Trump is now referring to himself as a wartime President. Always good for a popularity poll boost in the USA. https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/18/politics/donald-trump-wartime-president-coronavirus/index.html Sorry, will re-post this in the US Politics page. Mods can delete if they`d like.
  14. Or Canada (at least Manitoba). Until everyone gets tested, not just those who have symptoms AND travelled abroad (the criteria right now) the numbers will be artificially low.
  15. True, the trade-off for letting extra teams into the playoffs is that the draft lottery gets extended to all teams, like the year after the lockout.
  16. My favorite modified playoff scenario of the proposals that are out there is that this year the regular season is done right now, and all 31 teams make the playoffs. Teams 18-31 (the bottom 14) have a one game play-in at the home rink of the higher seeded team. 31 vs 18, 30 vs 19, etc. Teams 1-17 get a bye for this round. The winners of those single games then play teams seeded 9th through 15th (7 series in total), with the 9th vs the lowest remaining seed, 10th vs 2nd lowest remaining, and so on. Also, the 16th seed vs 17th seed. All of those series are best-of-3, higher seed gets the extra home game. Teams 1-8 get a bye through this round as well. Next round is seeds 1 through 8 playing off against the winners of those best-of-3, again with the highest vs lowest seed. This time it is a best-of-5. From there onward, best-of-7 series with the highest vs lowest seeds until the Stanley Cup is awarded. Overall an extra round of playoffs but the total maximum number of games for any one team only goes from 28 to 30. Given that right now only Detroit has been mathematically eliminated, it seems the fairest way not to arbitrarily eliminate teams that are still in the running and counted on a late push to make the playoffs (Jets are a prime example, sitting in the #1 wild card spot in the actual standings but based on percentage points are in fact .001 out of a playoff spot behind Calgary, who are #3 in the Pacific but would slide to the #2 wild card based on percentages).
  17. Here is another one straight from the horse's (ass) mouth: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ch7_t2Ri2Zg The most aggravating thing is that none of this will make any difference to vast numbers of Americans. Almost none of them (won't say all because one FOX host actually said "I underestimated how serious it was") will own their blatant lies and say "I was wrong", and will spin that this came out of the blue and no one could have predicted it, and the MAGA masses will believe it, or at least accept it. And they will hypocritically rail against the demon that is socialism while praying that the banks forgive their mortgages and loans for 6 months and the government will give them each a $1000 cheque a month to keep them afloat, and that there will be enough tests and ventilators for everyone RIGHT NOW that they don't have to pay through the nose for, and not see that what they demand as an entitlement from their government in times of need is what they rail against on the campaign trail. And there is no educating them on their folly. Because they live in an all-or-nothing world, where ANY gun control means ALL our guns will be confiscated, where ANY social assistance (EI, social security, food stamps) means that ALL the lazy people will abuse this handout.
  18. Pallister also slashed the number of ICU beds. That could easily come back to bite him.
  19. I hear Saskatchewan has plenty of toilet paper to spare.
  20. Not looking for an example of what has NOT been said. You have said that media is pushing the “banning travel from other countries is racist” theme. Please cite an example.
  21. Again, could you cite an actual example of this?
  22. So a new claim going around on Twitter is that Trump rejected the WHO testing kits so that they could be privatized. Fisher is being touted as the new private company manufacturing the tests and Trump supposedly has stock in that company. Another aspect is that with private testing, an FOIA request cannot be made to disclose the number of tests performed and the number of positive results, which could then underreport the real numbers of those affected. Now I have no proof of this claim so I’d like confirm or refute it with evidence, so I invite all those who know to offer evidence for or against it. I do note one key aspect of the Trump presser yesterday was the presence of businessmen from Target, Walmart, Walgreens, and Google involved with the battle against the virus and them being invited to speak as opposed to hordes of medical scientists.
  23. When a Chinese billionaire does more in one day than the US Government in 2 months. https://www.businessinsider.com/jack-ma-pledges-to-ship-coronavirus-tests-masks-to-us-2020-3 But "Boooooo, globalism!"
  24. Yeah, nice try, but no.
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