Playoff possibilities - Week 15

[TrueBlue4ever]

Winnipeg  - has clinched first place, first round bye, and will host Wast Final

Saskatchewan - can clinch playoff spot with a win AND a BC loss AND an Edmonton loss or tie. 

Calgary - no clinching or elimination possibility this week

BC - no clinching or elimination possibility this week, but can finish no better than 3rd with a loss AND a Saskatchewan win

Edmonton - eliminated from playoff contention with a loss AND a Calgary win AND a win or tie by Saskatchewan

Montreal - can clinch a playoff spot with a win AND a Calgary loss or a win AND a BC loss

Toronto - can clinch a playoff spot with a win AND a Calgary loss or a win AND a BC loss

Hamilton - no clinching or elimination possibility this week

Ottawa - eliminated from playoff contention

Edited November 8, 2021 by TrueBlue4ever

[Noeller]

fwiw, I think Edm beats Ham this week.... other than Cgy over Ott, that's about all I'm certain of at this point. 

[Geebrr]

1 hour ago, Noeller said:

fwiw, I think Edm beats Ham this week.... other than Cgy over Ott, that's about all I'm certain of at this point. 

Agree on both.

[Eternal optimist]

Hope HAM is the odd team out and gets eliminated by virtue of the cross-over once the dust settles. Thought of facing a hometown team in the Grey Cup is terrifying

[BBlink]

17 minutes ago, Eternal optimist said:

Hope HAM is the odd team out and gets eliminated by virtue of the cross-over once the dust settles. Thought of facing a hometown team in the Grey Cup is terrifying

Would be awesome but I can't see it happening

[Nolby]

1 hour ago, Eternal optimist said:

Hope HAM is the odd team out and gets eliminated by virtue of the cross-over once the dust settles. Thought of facing a hometown team in the Grey Cup is terrifying

I was thinking that exact same thing,good example is the 2011 grey Cup....

[O2L]

8 hours ago, Nolby said:

I was thinking that exact same thing,good example is the 2011 grey Cup....

Hmm no you must be mistaken, much like 01 and 07, I don’t believe there was a grey cup that year. 

[Geebrr]

11 hours ago, BBlink said:

Would be awesome but I can't see it happening

Agreed. 

Was in Montreal for the Grey Cup when they lost to Calgary with 60k at the O.

Calgary had no problems.

 

Edited October 28, 2021 by Geebrr

[Geebrr]

It doesn't seem impossible to me that BC gets a crossover spot.

[BBlink]

45 minutes ago, Geebrr said:

It doesn't seem impossible to me that BC gets a crossover spot.

It's not impossible. I'm just not sure what a resurgent BC Lions team looks like. Their identity seems to be having no running game, poor line play and Lucky Whitehead

[M.O.A.B.]

BC needs Lucky back and be lucky to get a playoff/crossover spot. 

[Eternal optimist]

12 hours ago, BBlink said:

Would be awesome but I can't see it happening

Their 4 games remaining are away at TOR and EDM. And hosting BC and SSK. All of those teams still have something to play for, even EDM. Not impossible but yeah, unlikely.

Thankfully, they play EDM this week... Before they are eliminated from playoff contention.

[TBURGESS]

BC's effectively 2 games down on Hamilton. I can't see them crossing over this year.

[Jesse]

It's going to be nice to have a year without a cross-over, actually. 

[TrueBlue4ever]

Week 14 scenarios:

Winnipeg  - 1st place

Saskatchewan - clinched a playoff spot. Can clinch 2nd and a home playoff game with a win and a Calgary tie or loss, OR a tie and a Calgary loss

Calgary - can clinch a playoff spot with a win and a B.C. loss or tie, OR a tie and a B.C. loss

BC - would be eliminated from crossover playoff contention with a loss OR a win by either Hamilton or Montreal. Would be eliminated from Western playoff contention with a loss and a Calgary win or tie, OR a tie and a Calgary win. 

Edmonton - eliminated

Toronto - clinched a playoff spot. No further clinching possibilities this week. 

Hamilton - can clinch a playoff spot with a win OR a BC loss OR a tie and a BC tie

Montreal - can clinch a playoff spot with a win OR a BC loss OR a tie and a BC tie

Ottawa - eliminated

[ddanger]

Can't see BC making the cross-over.  I figure it will be either Calgary or Sask playing here against us in December. 

East is too iffy to call for me right now.  The only thing I know for sure is that Montreal will not be clinching a play-off spot this week!

[Geebrr]

BC is out it is all positioning for the teams in playoff spots now.

Saskatchewan wants third because home teams never win, so it is really just the East.

[JCon]

3 hours ago, Geebrr said:

BC is out it is all positioning for the teams in playoff spots now.

Saskatchewan wants third because home teams never win, so it is really just the East.

IG Field West can't handle ANOTHER playoff loss. Frozen Crider tears everywhere. 

[Eternal optimist]

3 hours ago, Geebrr said:

BC is out it is all positioning for the teams in playoff spots now.
Saskatchewan wants third because home teams never win, so it is really just the East.

Nope. BC can (mathematically) make the postseason in the West - they are currently 4-7, and running the table would allow a 7-7 finish. That, combined with Calgary going 0-2 (finishing 6-8) would allow them to leapfrog them. Not saying it will happen, just saying that, mathematically speaking, it is a possibility.

In other obscure playoff possibilities, BC, SSK and CAL could all (hypothetically) finish the season 7-7 invoking the CFL's wacky tiebreaker rule with 2+ teams. That said, it is extremely unlikely as ALL of the following would have to happen:
- SSK goes 0-3
- CAL goes 0-2
- BC goes 3-0

[TrueBlue4ever]

28 minutes ago, Eternal optimist said:

Nope. BC can (mathematically) make the postseason in the West - they are currently 4-7, and running the table would allow a 7-7 finish. That, combined with Calgary going 0-2 (finishing 6-8) would allow them to leapfrog them. Not saying it will happen, just saying that, mathematically speaking, it is a possibility.

In other obscure playoff possibilities, BC, SSK and CAL could all (hypothetically) finish the season 7-7 invoking the CFL's wacky tiebreaker rule with 2+ teams. That said, it is extremely unlikely as ALL of the following would have to happen:
- SSK goes 0-3
- CAL goes 0-2
- BC goes 3-0

If that 3 way tie occurred (and Calgary would go 1-1, not 0-2, but would have to lose to BC), BC would still be out. The tiebreaker would be head-to-head-to head wins. Sask would be 3-2 (2-0 vs BC, 1-2 vs Cal), Cal would be 3-3 (2-1 vs Sask, would be 1-2 with another loss against BC) and BC would be 2-3 (0-2 vs Sask, 2-1 vs Cal). If BC and Cal end up tied in points, NC could still win out if they win the season series. As for the crossover, BC is almost down there as if either of Montreal or Hamilton win, they are done. BC can still lose one game but then Calgary would need to be winless for them to be tied. And Calgary can win one and BC is still alive if they win out. But odds are long in BC, and last week’s loss to Toronto was a real dagger. 

[Geebrr]

1 hour ago, Eternal optimist said:

Nope. BC can (mathematically) make the postseason in the West - they are currently 4-7, and running the table would allow a 7-7 finish. That, combined with Calgary going 0-2 (finishing 6-8) would allow them to leapfrog them. Not saying it will happen, just saying that, mathematically speaking, it is a possibility.

In other obscure playoff possibilities, BC, SSK and CAL could all (hypothetically) finish the season 7-7 invoking the CFL's wacky tiebreaker rule with 2+ teams. That said, it is extremely unlikely as ALL of the following would have to happen:
- SSK goes 0-3
- CAL goes 0-2
- BC goes 3-0

I know what I said.

They're out

 

[bearpants]

15 hours ago, Eternal optimist said:

Nope. BC can (mathematically) make the postseason in the West - they are currently 4-7, and running the table would allow a 7-7 finish. That, combined with Calgary going 0-2 (finishing 6-8) would allow them to leapfrog them. Not saying it will happen, just saying that, mathematically speaking, it is a possibility.

In other obscure playoff possibilities, BC, SSK and CAL could all (hypothetically) finish the season 7-7 invoking the CFL's wacky tiebreaker rule with 2+ teams. That said, it is extremely unlikely as ALL of the following would have to happen:
- SSK goes 0-3
- CAL goes 0-2
- BC goes 3-0

mathematically they are alive... realistically, they are done...

[Goalie]

Mathematically still some hope but realistically its likely 

Calgary @ Saskatchewan Western Semi 

Montreal @ Hamilton Eastern Semi 

Winnipeg DUH and Toronto with the bye 

[TrueBlue4ever]

Week 15 scenarios- 

Winnipeg - top of the heap

Saskatchewan - clinched playoff spot, can clinch 2nd and a home playoff game with a win or a tie OR a BC win or tie against Calgary

Calgary - can clinch a playoff spot with a win or tie against BC, still in contention for 2nd place

BC - will be eliminated with a tie or loss against Calgary, can finish no higher than 3rd

Edmonton - out of playoffs, will finish last with a loss and a BC win or tie OR a tie and a BC win

Toronto - clinched a playoff spot, can clinch 2nd and a home playoff date with a Montreal loss or tie, can clinch 1st with a win or tie against Hamilton. Toronto can still finish anywhere from 1st to 3rd.

Hamilton - clinched a playoff spot, can clinch 2nd and a home playoff game with a win OR a Montreal loss OR a tie and a Montreal tie. Hamilton can still finish anywhere from 1st to 3rd. 

Montreal - clinched a playoff spot, cannot finish higher than 2nd, but can pass either Hamilton or Toronto (just not both). Will finish 3rd with a loss OR a tie and a Hamilton tie or win. 

Ottawa - bottom of the barrel. 

Edited November 8, 2021 by TrueBlue4ever