TrueBlue4ever Posted February 21 Report Posted February 21 (edited) Here are the various magic numbers (number of points combined from Jets’ points gained and opponents’ points lost) and clinching scenarios : March 12 update - 37 days left in season Games left: 278 Games today: 4 Jets games left: 16 Next game: vs Dallas March 14 Clinching scenario today: Clinch 25th spot (over Buffalo) with a Sabres loss of any kind. Jets magic number Max. points: 126 On pace for: 117 Clinched: 26th (over Seattle, Nashville, and Philadelphia*) Magic # for 25th: 1 (over Buffalo) Magic # for playoff spot: 12 (over Vancouver) Magic # for top wildcard spot: 15 (over Calgary) Magic # for 3rd in Central: 19 (over Minnesota) Magic # for 2nd in Central: 20 (over Colorado) Magic # for 1st in Central: 29 (over Dallas) Magic # for 1st in West: 29 (over Dallas) Magic # for President’s Trophy: 35** (over Washington) *Jets hold tiebreaker ** Not currently favoured to win Washington - Max points: 128 On pace for: 119 Dallas - Max points: 122 On pace for: 110 Vegas - Max points: 119 On pace for: 106 Florida - Max points: 117 On pace for: 105 Toronto - Max points: 117 On pace for: 104 Carolina - Max points: 116 On pace for: 103 Los Angeles - Max points: 115 On pace for: 100 Tampa Bay - Max points: 114 On pace for: 100 Edmonton - Max points: 114 On pace for: 100 Colorado - Max points: 113 On pace for: 101 Minnesota - Max points: 112 On pace for: 98 Ottawa - Max points: 109 On pace for: 94 New Jersey - Max points: 108 On pace for: 94 Calgary - Max points: 108 On pace for: 91 Columbus - Max points: 106 On pace for: 90 Vancouver - Max points: 105 On pace for: 88 Montreal - Max points: 104 On pace for: 87 St. Louis - Max points: 103 On pace for: 87 Utah - Max points: 103 On pace for: 86 New York Rangers - Max points: 102 On pace for: 86 Detroit - Max points: 102 On pace for: 85 New York Islanders - Max points: 101 On pace for: 83 Boston - Max points: 100 On pace for: 84 Anaheim - Max points: 99 On pace for: 81 Buffalo - Max points: 94 On pace for: 73 Philadelphia* - Eliminated Nashville - Eliminated Seattle - Eliminated Pittsburgh - Eliminated Chicago - Eliminated San Jose - Eliminated Edited 6 hours ago by TrueBlue4ever HardCoreBlue, captaincanuck12, Tony Fresco and 1 other 2 1 1
SpeedFlex27 Posted February 21 Report Posted February 21 Great research. Thanks for that. Of course, we're all waiting to see what the Jets do in the playoffs. Will they have a deep run or be blown out in 5 or 6 games in the first round?
TrueBlue4ever Posted February 21 Author Report Posted February 21 8 hours ago, SpeedFlex27 said: Great research. Thanks for that. Of course, we're all waiting to see what the Jets do in the playoffs. Will they have a deep run or be blown out in 5 or 6 games in the first round? Depends on the match-up. Despite their flaws, Jets have had some brutal first round pairings the last few years (St. Louis who were on a heater and won the Cup, Edmonton who we swept, Vegas who won the Cup, and our reward for a 110 point season last year was playing the 106 point Avs who were two years removed from winning the Cup). No one seems to factor that in when considering our ouster each year. Hopefully we see Vancouver, Calgary, or even Minnesota in round one this year. BomberBall., Goalie and SpeedFlex27 2 1
captaincanuck12 Posted February 21 Report Posted February 21 Wow.. nice work @FrostyWinnipeg. although I will agree with the thread title. Way to Early. Jets need to win and win consistently. We can revisit this topic after Mid March
FrostyWinnipeg Posted February 22 Report Posted February 22 1 hour ago, captaincanuck12 said: Wow.. nice work @FrostyWinnipeg. Even though I had nothing to do with this I will accept the congratulatory remarks captaincanuck12 1
bearpants Posted February 22 Report Posted February 22 I was actually thinking about this recently during the break and I wondered what a realistic magic number would be to win the west (don't care about the presidents trophy... in fact, I'd rather the Jets not win that)... I kind of settled on 16 wins... though 2 extra points would be useful... so something like 16-8-2 in the final 26... With that record, I believe Dallas, Edm, or Vegas would have to go 22-5 or 22-4 (depending on how many games they have left) to knock the Jets out of first... while it's not impossible for team to get super hot... it seems unlikely....
Goalie Posted February 22 Report Posted February 22 6 minutes ago, bearpants said: I was actually thinking about this recently during the break and I wondered what a realistic magic number would be to win the west (don't care about the presidents trophy... in fact, I'd rather the Jets not win that)... I kind of settled on 16 wins... though 2 extra points would be useful... so something like 16-8-2 in the final 26... With that record, I believe Dallas, Edm, or Vegas would have to go 22-5 or 22-4 (depending on how many games they have left) to knock the Jets out of first... while it's not impossible for team to get super hot... it seems unlikely.... So what your saying is there’s gonna be atleast 1 new banner at Canada life next season.
HardCoreBlue Posted February 22 Report Posted February 22 3 hours ago, TrueBlue4ever said: Depends on the match-up. Despite their flaws, Jets have had some brutal first round pairings the last few years (St. Louis who were on a heater and won the Cup, Edmonton who we swept, Vegas who won the Cup, and our reward for a 110 point season last year was playing the 106 point Avs who were two years removed from winning the Cup). No one seems to factor that in when considering our ouster each year. Hopefully we see Vancouver, Calgary, or even Minnesota in round one this year. Just make the damn playoffs. Secure that then fingers crossed for the Wild. Would love to stomp them. Noeller and Stickem 2
captaincanuck12 Posted February 22 Report Posted February 22 4 hours ago, FrostyWinnipeg said: Even though I had nothing to do with this I will accept the congratulatory remarks Damnit... I meant nice work @TrueBlue4ever. SpeedFlex27 and FrostyWinnipeg 2
TrueBlue4ever Posted February 22 Author Report Posted February 22 No problem! If one of the mods wants to pin this topic I will update it daily without the need for bumping it
TrueBlue4ever Posted February 24 Author Report Posted February 24 Wondering if a mod could pin this topic for the time being, as updates will occur daily. Mark H. 1
Stretch Posted March 1 Report Posted March 1 I was told there would be no math... 😜 HardCoreBlue and Mark H. 2
TrueBlue4ever Posted March 1 Author Report Posted March 1 Leave the math to me. Just revel in the numbers getting smalller. HardCoreBlue and Stretch 1 1
HardCoreBlue Posted March 1 Report Posted March 1 2 hours ago, TrueBlue4ever said: Leave the math to me. Just revel in the numbers getting smalller. Being a lifetime Jet fan with many moments of highs yet many moments of heart break is just make the damn playoffs then focus on the next step.
TrueBlue4ever Posted March 1 Author Report Posted March 1 2 hours ago, HardCoreBlue said: Being a lifetime Jet fan with many moments of highs yet many moments of heart break is just make the damn playoffs then focus on the next step. Agreed, that why I put multiple steps in. But winning the division is a big advantage, so that’s the goal I am interested in HardCoreBlue 1
TrueBlue4ever Posted 6 hours ago Author Report Posted 6 hours ago That is counting wins, not points, so it is not accurate (since you could lose in OT and reduce the number, and saying 6.5 wins is stupid). Also with the Canucks losing, the number is actually 6. Ignore the shiny colours and trust the original.
TrueBlue4ever Posted 6 hours ago Author Report Posted 6 hours ago Right now, the Jets can clinch a playoff spot as early as next Tuesday, assuming all games for them and their challengers in the West turn out in their favour.
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