The (Way Too Early?) Jets Magic Number

[TrueBlue4ever]

Still one third of the season to go, but with an 8 game win streak and 7 of their next 8 against non-playoff teams, the Jets could really solidify their playoff position by the first week of March. Here are the various magic numbers (number of points combined from Jets’ points gained and opponents’ points lost) and clinching scenarios (for some perspective, if other teams  continue at their current pace, the Jets only need to play .500 hockey to clinch the West) :

Max points: 133

On pace for: 119

Magic # for 31st: 7 (over San Jose)

Magic # for playoff spot: 34 (over Calgary)

Magic # for top wildcard spot: 37 (over Vancouver)

Magic # for 3rd in Central: 38 (over Colorado)

Magic # for 2nd in Central: 42 (over Minnesota)

Magic # for 1st in Central: 46 (over Dallas)

Magic # for 1st in West: 46 (over Edmonton/Dallas)

Magic # for President’s Trophy: 54* (over Washington)

*not currently favoured

All other teams’ positions:

Washington -

Max points: 134

On pace for: 119

 

Dallas -

Max points: 126

On pace for: 107

 

Edmonton -

Max points: 126

On pace for: 107

 

Vegas - 

Max points: 124

On pace for: 105

 

Carolina -

Max points: 122

On pace for: 103

 

Minnesota -

Max points: 122

On pace for: 103

 

Florida -

Max points: 121

On pace for: 102

 

Toronto -

Max points: 122

On pace for: 101

 

Los Angeles -

Max points: 123

On pace for: 101

 

Tampa Bay -

Max points: 120

On pace for: 98

 

Colorado - 

Max points: 118

On pace for: 98

 

New Jersey -

Max points: 118

On pace for: 98

 

Vancouver -

Max points: 117

On pace for: 94 

 

Detroit -

Max points: 115

On pace for: 91

 

Ottawa -

Max points: 114

On pace for: 91

 

Calgary -

Max points: 114

On pace for:89

 

Columbus -

Max points: 112

On pace for: 88

 

New York Rangers -

Max points: 112

On pace for: 86

 

Boston -

Max points: 110

On pace for: 86

 

New York Islanders -

Max points: 111

On pace for: 85

 

Utah -

Max points: 109

On pace for: 84

 

Anaheim -

Max points: 110

On pace for: 82

 

Montreal -

Max points: 107

On pace for: 81

 

St. Louis - 

Max points: 107

On pace for: 81

 

Pittsburgh -

Max points: 105

On pace for: 79

 

Philadelphia -

Max points: 105

On pace for: 79

 

Seattle -

Max points: 102

On pace for: 75

 

Buffalo -

Max points: 105

On pace for:74

 

Nashville -

Max points: 101

On pace for: 68

 

Chicago -

Max points: 95

On pace for: 61

 

San Jose -

Max points: 87

On pace for: 53

[SpeedFlex27]

Great research. Thanks for that. Of course, we're all waiting to see what the Jets do in the playoffs. Will they have a deep run or be blown out in 5 or 6 games in the first round? 

[TrueBlue4ever]

8 hours ago, SpeedFlex27 said:

Great research. Thanks for that. Of course, we're all waiting to see what the Jets do in the playoffs. Will they have a deep run or be blown out in 5 or 6 games in the first round? 

Depends on the match-up. Despite their flaws, Jets have had some brutal first round pairings the last few years (St. Louis who were on a heater and won the Cup, Edmonton who we swept, Vegas who won the Cup, and our reward for a 110 point season last year was playing the 106 point Avs who were two years removed from winning the Cup).  No one seems to factor that in when considering our ouster each year. Hopefully we see Vancouver, Calgary, or even Minnesota in round one this year. 

[captaincanuck12]

Wow.. nice work @FrostyWinnipeg.

although I will agree with the thread title.  Way to Early. 

Jets need to win and win consistently.  We can revisit this topic after Mid March

 

[FrostyWinnipeg]

1 hour ago, captaincanuck12 said:

Wow.. nice work @FrostyWinnipeg.

Even though I had nothing to do with this I will accept the congratulatory remarks

 

[bearpants]

I was actually thinking about this recently during the break and I wondered what a realistic magic number would be to win the west (don't care about the presidents trophy... in fact, I'd rather the Jets not win that)... I kind of settled on 16 wins... though 2 extra points would be useful... so something like 16-8-2 in the final 26... With that record, I believe Dallas, Edm, or Vegas would have to go 22-5 or 22-4 (depending on how many games they have left) to knock the Jets out of first... while it's not impossible for team to get super hot... it seems unlikely....

[Goalie]

6 minutes ago, bearpants said:

I was actually thinking about this recently during the break and I wondered what a realistic magic number would be to win the west (don't care about the presidents trophy... in fact, I'd rather the Jets not win that)... I kind of settled on 16 wins... though 2 extra points would be useful... so something like 16-8-2 in the final 26... With that record, I believe Dallas, Edm, or Vegas would have to go 22-5 or 22-4 (depending on how many games they have left) to knock the Jets out of first... while it's not impossible for team to get super hot... it seems unlikely....

So what your saying is there’s gonna be atleast 1 new banner at Canada life next season. 

[HardCoreBlue]

3 hours ago, TrueBlue4ever said:

Depends on the match-up. Despite their flaws, Jets have had some brutal first round pairings the last few years (St. Louis who were on a heater and won the Cup, Edmonton who we swept, Vegas who won the Cup, and our reward for a 110 point season last year was playing the 106 point Avs who were two years removed from winning the Cup).  No one seems to factor that in when considering our ouster each year. Hopefully we see Vancouver, Calgary, or even Minnesota in round one this year. 

Just make the damn playoffs. Secure that then fingers crossed for the Wild. Would love to stomp them.

[captaincanuck12]

4 hours ago, FrostyWinnipeg said:

Even though I had nothing to do with this I will accept the congratulatory remarks

 

Damnit... I meant nice work @TrueBlue4ever.